Tonight’s GfK projection for EenVandaag continues the recent Dutch polling pattern of showing conservative VVD and populist PVV locked together – here shown at 24 parliamentary seats each.
The Christian Democrats (CDA) are currently showing excellent momentum, reaching a campaign peak with EenVandaag at 20 seats, up one. Only one other poll – Maurice de Hond’s latest survey on Sunday 5 March – has shown them higher (at 21).
There is little other movement among the parties’ support, apart from in the ‘Others’ column where the animal rights focussed Partij voor de Dieren (PvdD) drops from 7 to 4 ‘virtual seats’.
Voting will take place a week tomorrow on Wednesday 15 March.
EEN VANDAAG / GfK
Seat projections for Tweede Kamer (change on 28 Feb poll in brackets):
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PVV, Freedom Party) 24 (+2)
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (VVD, Centre right) 24 (+2)
Democraten 66 (D66, Social liberals) 16 (-1)
Christen-Democratisch Appel (CDA, Christian Democrats) 20 (+1)
GroenLinks (GL, Green Left) 16 (+1)
Socialistische Partij (SP, Socialist Party) 15 (-1)
Partij van der Arbeid (PvdA, Labour Party) 12 (nc)
50Plus (Pensioners’ party) 5 (nc)
ChristenUnie (CU, Christian Union) 7 (nc)
Others (SGP, PvdD, DENK, VNL, FvD, PP) 11 (-4)
Fieldwork: 06.03-07.03.2017. Released: 07.03.2017. Participants: 3081. Methodology: Online poll, weightings include 2012 election vote.
Note: Due to the highly proportional nature of the Dutch electoral system, pollsters generally express results in terms of seat projections rather than in percentages.
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