Review: Norwegian polling in February

There were a total of nine nationwide polls carried out in Norway in February by eight polling organisations (Norstat produced work for both Vart Land and NRK) as well as a number of county-level surveys.

Momentum during the month lay with the Centre Party (SP), which advanced its average score from 7.8 per cent in January to 9.8 per cent in February, passing the psychological hurdle of 10 per cent in three of nine polls.

Prime Minister Erna Solberg’s Conservatives (Hoyre), who lead a minority government, were absolutely unchanged on the monthly average at 23.4 per cent. With parliamentary elections due on 11 September, some kind of boost needs to be found: Hoyre are polling three points below their actual score in the 2013 contest.

The main opposition Labour Party (AP) slipped back two points on average: it seems to be the Centre that has profited from the government’s struggles in recent months to pass its budget and local government reforms.

For other political forces there was little movement in voting intentions, including the populist Progress Party (FRP) which is the minority coalition partner; and the Liberals (Venstre) and Christian People’s Party (KRF) who give the coalition parliamentary support.

 

STORTING VOTING INTENTIONS
Average monthly score, per cent (change on January in brackets):

Labour Party (AP) 33.1 (-2.4) range 30.2 to 34.8
Conservatives (Hoyre) 23.4 (nc) range 21.0 to 25.0
Progress Party (FRP) 14.0 (+0.1) range 12.7 to 16.0
Centre Party (SP) 9.8 (+2.0) range 8.6 to 11.4
Christian People’s Party (KRF) 4.9 (-0.3) range 3.8 to 5.6
Liberals (Venstre) 4.0 (nc) range 3.4 to 5.3
Socialist Left Party (SV) 4.1 (-0.2) range 3.7 to 5.1
Greens (MDG) 2.8 (+0.3) range 2.2 to 3.8
Red Party (Rodt) 2.1 (nc) range 1.1 to 3.3
Others 1.7 (+0.4) range 1.2 to 2.3

 

Pollsters: InFact, Ipsos MMI, Kantar TNS, Norfakta, Norstat (two polls), Opinion Perduco, Respons Analyse, Sentio.

 

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