Dutch citizens go to the polling stations two weeks tomorrow: the campaign outcome is still fraught with uncertainty and voting intentions remain highly fragmented. Today’s parliamentary seat projection from Kantar Public (TNS-NIPO) shows the governing VVD conservatives and right-wing populist PVV neck-and-neck in the high twenties. The sharp recovery in VVD support appears to show […]
Month: February 2017
DUP set to limit damage in Northern Ireland Assembly snap election
Thursday’s snap election for the Northern Irish Assembly was inevitably going to punish the province’s largest party, the Democratic Unionists, after their First Minister Arlene Foster was tarred with suggestions of scandal around funding a renewable energy scheme. However the second and final opinion poll of the brief campaign, published today by Lucid Talk, shows […]
Two polls confirm Macron’s Bayrou lift, Le Pen makes second round progress
Sunday polls from Odoxa and Kantar Sofres Onepoint released today have confirmed the boost to Emmanuel Macron’s position after he received the backing of MoDem leader Francois Bayrou last week. In both polls respondents were questioned after Bayrou’s endorsement (and his own withdrawal from the race), and in both cases Macron has hit a new […]
Macron benefits from Bayrou endorsement in rolling polls
Veteran centrist leader Francois Bayrou has kept France waiting over his Presidential intentions, but there was little surprise last Wednesday when he announced he would not run and would instead endorse independent Emmanuel Macron. Bayrou had been scoring just 4 to 6 per cent in the polls since the start of the year, while Macron’s […]
Fillon regains second spot as Macron and Hamon both slide
Elabe’s French Presidential poll out this afternoon is already making headlines as conservative contender Francois Fillon regains second place, independent centrist Emmanuel Macron slips into third, Socialist Benoit Hamon struggles and Marine Le Pen returns her best score of 2017 with any pollster. The survey carried out for BFMTV and L’Express offered respondents […]
Austria: SPO continues to narrow gap with FPO
New polling in Austria shows that Social Democrat Chancellor Christian Kern (SPO) is narrowing the gap on the populist Freedom Party (FPO) – perhaps an early sign that last month’s tough package of reforms on immigration and integration is beginning to bear political fruit. Measures agreed by the SPO and OVP coalition government in response […]