As expected, new French President Emmanuel Macron won a convincing parliamentary majority for his République en Marche (REM) movement in yesterday’s second round run-off election. Together with his centrist MoDem allies, Macron will command 350 of the 577 National Assembly seats. Importantly REM itself took 308 of these, enough to insure the Presidential majority against […]
Month: June 2017
Best Ipsos lead since January for Germany’s CDU
Chancellor Angel Merkel’s ruling Christian Democratic CDU/CSU has widened its lead over her Social Democrat (SPD) coalition partners from 10 to 12 points in today’s fortnightly poll from Ipsos Germany – the last time the margin was this wide was on 15 January. In addition the CDU score of 38 per cent is the joint […]
Norway’s Progress drops three points in a month
The populist Fremskrittpartiet (Progress Party, FRP) turns in a weak performance in today’s monthly Opinion Perduco poll for ANB. It is down 3.1 percentage points compared to May’s poll, to just 12 per cent of voting intentions. Importantly this puts it behind the revitalised Senterpartiet (Centre Party, SP) who achieve their best score of 2017 […]
30 point lead for Merkel on personal ratings
Today’s Forsa poll for Stern and RTL shows a largely unchanged position over the previous week’s survey, with the CDU/CSU holding a 14 percentage point lead over their SPD rivals, 38 to 24 per cent. Third placed liberals the FDP improve a point to 9 per cent, to draw level again with their highest Forsa […]
Election Result: French National Assembly 2017 (1st round)
Emmanuel Macron’s extraordinary political journey continued in yesterday’s first round elections for France’s 577-member National Assembly. The new President’s République en Marche (REM) movement strolled to its predicted victory, winning 32 per cent of the votes – very much in line with the final opinion polls of the campaign. In next Sunday’s run-off ballot, REM […]
Final polling for the UK General Election
Today’s parliamentary election in Britain will be something of a test for the nation’s embattled opinion polling companies. In part this is due to past perceived ‘failures’ at the 2015 General Election and the 2016 referendum on Brexit. But it is also due to the extraordinary swings in voting intention reported during the six week […]