Final provisional results from yesterday’s Netherlands’ lower house election are now in after the last constituencies declared earlier today. Descriptions of ‘winners’ and ‘losers’ are relative concepts in such a fragmented outcome with the largest party gaining only one fifth of the votes and seats, and the next five finishers all within four percentage points […]
Category: Netherlands
Dutch election: final polling data
There has been a rush of last minute polling before Dutch voters elect a new Tweede Kamer tomorrow. The closing picture presented by the country’s six pollsters is broadly consistent, even if many parties are so bunched together that gaps between them are well within margins of error. The ruling centre-right VVD of […]
Wilders’ PVV now battling for second place?
There have been some small but potentially very significant developments in Netherlands’ polling in the last day or so. With only a week until voters hit the ballot boxes, the situation remains fragmented and stagnant, but the following may prove important pointers to the outcome: The gap between the ruling conservative VVD and the populist […]
PVV and VVD still tied, Christian Democrats hit high
Tonight’s GfK projection for EenVandaag continues the recent Dutch polling pattern of showing conservative VVD and populist PVV locked together – here shown at 24 parliamentary seats each. The Christian Democrats (CDA) are currently showing excellent momentum, reaching a campaign peak with EenVandaag at 20 seats, up one. Only one other poll – Maurice de […]
VVD opens up four seat lead with both Ipsos and LISS panel
The weekly political barometer from Ipsos shows the governing centre-right VVD holding its ground at a projected 28 parliamentary seats. With the populist Freedom Party (PVV) slipping two ‘virtual seats’ to 24, its lowest projection with Ipsos so far in 2017, a clear gap seems to be consolidating. Exactly the same distance of […]
‘Still no gamechangers’ in tight Dutch race
Today’s fortnightly poll from I & O Research bears the mixed Dutch-English headline ‘Nog geen gamechangers’ (‘still no gamechangers’). No significant breakthroughs are reported and in percentage terms voting intention scores have shifted only within the margin of error for nearly all the parties. Translating that into a lower house seat projection, the PVV and […]