Norway’s Conservatives poll strongly with five weeks to go

Despite the fact that parliamentary elections are due in mid-September, there have been no nationwide polls published in Norway for four weeks as the country enjoys its holidays. Returning with surveys this weekend are Norfakta for Nationen og Klassekampen and InFact for the VG newspaper.

Both reports will make for happy reading for the ruling Conservatives (Hoyre) and will worry the opposition Labour Party (AP). At 26.1 per cent of voting intentions with Norfakta, Hoyre achieves its second best score in no less than 58 national polls this year – this is only the second time they have breached the 26 per cent barrier. With InFact, a firm that consistently gives Hoyre relatively poor results, they move up 1.6 points in a month to 22.7 per cent, their best showing with this pollster so far in 2017.

For Labour a marginal drop with Norfakta to 31.9 per cent is not a disaster but illustrates the party’s lack of momentum as the final weeks of the campaign open. The score of 30 per cent with InFact on the other hand is down nearly 2 percentage points on July and is their worst performance of the year with this firm.

Meanwhile the Centre Party’s surge continues to peter out with further slight drops in both these surveys. For the populist Fremskrittspartiet (Progress Party), results of 12.6 and 13.8 per cent straddle recent averages but are still short of their 2013 election result of 16.3 per cent.


Storting voting intentions, per cent
(change on 8 July in brackets)

Labour Party (AP) 31.9 (-0.3)
Conservatives (Hoyre)*  26.1 (+3.2)
Progress Party (FRP)*  13.8 (-0.9)
Centre Party (SP) 9.5 (-0.2)
Christian People’s Party (KRF)*  4.7 (-0.5)
Socialist Left Party (SV) 4.6 (nc)
Liberals (Venstre)*  3.1 (-0.2)
Greens (MDG) 2.1 (-1.8)
Red Party (Rodt) 1.8 (nc)
Others 2.5 (+0.8)

Fieldwork: 01.08-02.08.2017. Published: 05.08.2017. Participants: 1006.


INFACT 4 August
Storting voting intentions, per cent
(change on 9 July in brackets)

Labour Party (AP) 30.0 (-1.9)
Conservatives (Hoyre)*  22.7 (+1.6)
Progress Party (FRP) *  12.6 (+0.7)
Centre Party (SP) 11.9 (-1.1)
Christian People’s Party (KRF)*  5.2 (+0.6)
Socialist Left Party (SV) 5.2 (+0.7)
Greens (MDG) 3.6 (-0.5)
Liberals (Venstre)*  3.2 (-0.3)
Red Party (Rodt) 3.2 (+0.4)
Others 2.3 (-0.4)

Fieldwork: 01.08-02.08.2017. Published: 04.08.2017. Participants: 2015.

*denotes member of ruling coalition government


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