As Germany’s ‘Jamaica’ coalition negotiations inch forward, October’s opinion polls have shown a further loss of momentum for Angela Merkel’s CDU/CSU. Only 3 of the 19 national surveys published during the month saw the combined Christian Democrat forces match their result in the Federal election of 24 September. The slippage on the October polling average […]
Tag: Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Election result: Niedersachsen regional parliament
Hard on the heels of national election losses, Angela Merkel’s CDU suffered another setback in yesterday’s regional election in Niedersachsen (Lower Saxony). Having been clearly ahead in the August and early September opinion polls, and with hopes of taking the state after the defection of a Green MP had led to an early election, the […]
CDU and SPD tie twice as Lower Saxony vote nears
In a dramatic polling turnaround, two surveys in the last 24 hours have shown CDU and SPD tied in Lower Saxony (Niedersachsen), where regional elections will take place on Sunday 15 October. The contrast with three polls carried out in the state in August is stark – these gave the CDU leads of 12, 8 […]
Final German polls: late boost for AfD as Merkel’s support wobbles
On the eve of the German Federal election, the populist Alternative for Germany (AfD) is enjoying a late surge in the polls while support for Angela Merkel’s CDU/CSU has slipped back. While she maintains a comfortable 14-point average lead over the struggling Social Democrats (SPD), who also lose ground, gains for the smaller parties suggest […]
August poll tracker: No progress for Germany’s challengers as CDU advantage stays rock-solid
The average of 26 national polls published in August showed no real shift in opinion between the main two forces, with a Christian Democrat (CDU/CSU) lead of 14.3 points, compared to 14.5 points in July. Not only did the Social Democrats (SPD) make virtually no inroads into Angela Merkel’s commanding lead, they matched January 2017 […]
CDU average lead holds firm at 14 points in July
With just eight weeks to go until Germany’s federal election, July closed in a very satisfactory way for Chancellor Angela Merkel. Her Christian Democrat party (CDU/CSU) held onto its enormous average poll lead and indeed increased it slightly from 13.9 points over the Social Democrats (SPD) in June to 14.5 points in July. (It should […]