German populists the AfD (Alternative for Germany) continue to struggle in July’s opinion polls, with an 8 per cent score in today’s Ipsos poll being the joint lowest for the party since Ipsos began its currently fortnightly series in September 2016. Other recent lows for the AfD include: 7 per cent with GMS […]
Tag: Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
Merkel widens average lead to 14 points in June
There were 25 national polls carried out by nine firms in Germany in June, the highest monthly total of the year so far as September’s Bundestag elections draw ever nearer. While it may have seemed at the end of May that things couldn’t get any better for Chancellor Angela Merkel, June turned out to be […]
Major failure for pollsters in Saarland vote
With the provisional official results just out in tonight’s regional election in Saarland, it is clear the opinion polls have failed to pick up the resilience of Angela Merkel’s CDU and over-estimated the ‘Schulz effect’ from the SPD’s recent change of leader. All six polls carried out in March (by four different firms) […]
Saarland is first test in German election year
A week today voters in the German Federal State of Saarland will go to the polls to elect a new regional parliament. Normally Saarland, the second smallest of the country’s 16 Laender with a population of just 995,000, would barely feature on the political radar – but this contest will be interesting for several reasons: […]
Germany: SPD gains nine points with GMS
The scale of the Social Democrats‘ surge following their change of leadership is well illustrated by yesterday’s monthly poll from GMS that shows an incredible advance of nine percentage points since the firm’s 5 January survey. The ‘Schulz effect’ is clearly visible in the SPD score of 29 per cent, versus 33 for […]