As Germany’s ‘Jamaica’ coalition negotiations inch forward, October’s opinion polls have shown a further loss of momentum for Angela Merkel’s CDU/CSU. Only 3 of the 19 national surveys published during the month saw the combined Christian Democrat forces match their result in the Federal election of 24 September. The slippage on the October polling average […]
Tag: GMS
Final German polls: late boost for AfD as Merkel’s support wobbles
On the eve of the German Federal election, the populist Alternative for Germany (AfD) is enjoying a late surge in the polls while support for Angela Merkel’s CDU/CSU has slipped back. While she maintains a comfortable 14-point average lead over the struggling Social Democrats (SPD), who also lose ground, gains for the smaller parties suggest […]
August poll tracker: No progress for Germany’s challengers as CDU advantage stays rock-solid
The average of 26 national polls published in August showed no real shift in opinion between the main two forces, with a Christian Democrat (CDU/CSU) lead of 14.3 points, compared to 14.5 points in July. Not only did the Social Democrats (SPD) make virtually no inroads into Angela Merkel’s commanding lead, they matched January 2017 […]
CDU average lead holds firm at 14 points in July
With just eight weeks to go until Germany’s federal election, July closed in a very satisfactory way for Chancellor Angela Merkel. Her Christian Democrat party (CDU/CSU) held onto its enormous average poll lead and indeed increased it slightly from 13.9 points over the Social Democrats (SPD) in June to 14.5 points in July. (It should […]
Another low score for AfD with Ipsos Germany
German populists the AfD (Alternative for Germany) continue to struggle in July’s opinion polls, with an 8 per cent score in today’s Ipsos poll being the joint lowest for the party since Ipsos began its currently fortnightly series in September 2016. Other recent lows for the AfD include: 7 per cent with GMS […]
Merkel widens average lead to 14 points in June
There were 25 national polls carried out by nine firms in Germany in June, the highest monthly total of the year so far as September’s Bundestag elections draw ever nearer. While it may have seemed at the end of May that things couldn’t get any better for Chancellor Angela Merkel, June turned out to be […]