There has been a rush of last minute polling before Dutch voters elect a new Tweede Kamer tomorrow. The closing picture presented by the country’s six pollsters is broadly consistent, even if many parties are so bunched together that gaps between them are well within margins of error. The ruling centre-right VVD of […]
Tag: I & O Research
Wilders’ PVV now battling for second place?
There have been some small but potentially very significant developments in Netherlands’ polling in the last day or so. With only a week until voters hit the ballot boxes, the situation remains fragmented and stagnant, but the following may prove important pointers to the outcome: The gap between the ruling conservative VVD and the populist […]
‘Still no gamechangers’ in tight Dutch race
Today’s fortnightly poll from I & O Research bears the mixed Dutch-English headline ‘Nog geen gamechangers’ (‘still no gamechangers’). No significant breakthroughs are reported and in percentage terms voting intention scores have shifted only within the margin of error for nearly all the parties. Translating that into a lower house seat projection, the PVV and […]
Cracks show in Wilders’ support with one month to go
Voters in the Netherlands will cast their ballots exactly one month from today – and it appears that support for Geert Wilders’ populist Freedom Party (PVV) is showing signs of cracking. Since EPR last reported on the Netherlands, ten days ago, four of the country’s five regular pollsters have published surveys showing the PVV in […]
Netherlands still fragmented with under six weeks to go
Ahead of the Dutch lower house elections on 15 March there has been a flurry of polls with all four of the country’s pollsters issuing research in the last week. On top of that, the new daily rolling LISS panel survey from the University of Tilburg / CentERdata is now up to its full size […]