The annual opinion poll for St David’s Day, the Welsh national day, produced by ICM for BBC Wales, shows practically no movement in support for any of the different approaches to the Principality’s future. Only 7 per cent of respondents support independence for Wales, up just one point on 2017’s survey. There is no real […]
Tag: ICM
Neck and neck in twin UK polls
The late August Monday public holiday traditionally marks the end of summer in the UK and, after a very light period for opinion polling, the pollsters are straight back into action today with twin surveys issued by YouGov and ICM. Both show that the minority ruling Conservatives and the opposition Labour Party are running neck […]
Final polling for the UK General Election
Today’s parliamentary election in Britain will be something of a test for the nation’s embattled opinion polling companies. In part this is due to past perceived ‘failures’ at the 2015 General Election and the 2016 referendum on Brexit. But it is also due to the extraordinary swings in voting intention reported during the six week […]
Extraordinary first week of UK campaign polling
If Theresa May’s decision last Tuesday to call a UK General Election was a surprise, the eight days since have continued to shock in opinion polling terms. The already enormous leads enjoyed by the ruling Conservatives have somehow grown further, the UK Independence Party’s support has tumbled, and the Labour Party is under threat in […]
Snap poll opens UK General Election campaign
Within hours of Prime Minister Theresa May’s surprise decision to opt for an early General Election, ICM had won the mini-race to produce the first poll of the campaign. It confirmed the enormous advantage the Conservatives will take into the 8 June vote – a lead of 21 points over Labour, by 46 per cent […]
Grim backdrop for Labour ahead of local vote
In exactly two months time voters in England, Scotland and Wales will go to the polling stations for local government elections. There is no UK tradition of opinion polling specifically for such local-level contests, so instead guidance for 4 May must be taken from surveys asking about national level voting intentions and from the projections […]