Kantar TNS has published its first British voting intention poll since June’s General Election, and has made some headlines for showing the first Conservative lead in any poll since late September. The four-point gap for the ruling party over the Labour opposition is, however, something of a product of the turnout model adopted by Kantar. […]
Tag: Kantar TNS
Norway’s Labour in ‘crisis’ as support slumps
A triple release of polling data yesterday provoked fresh headlines of ‘crisis’ for the election campaign of Jonas Gahr Store, leader of Norway’s opposition Labour Party (AP). All three surveys put Labour below 28 per cent, around three points off their 2013 General Election score and enough to raise the prospect of several seat losses. […]
Final polling for the UK General Election
Today’s parliamentary election in Britain will be something of a test for the nation’s embattled opinion polling companies. In part this is due to past perceived ‘failures’ at the 2015 General Election and the 2016 referendum on Brexit. But it is also due to the extraordinary swings in voting intention reported during the six week […]
Extraordinary first week of UK campaign polling
If Theresa May’s decision last Tuesday to call a UK General Election was a surprise, the eight days since have continued to shock in opinion polling terms. The already enormous leads enjoyed by the ruling Conservatives have somehow grown further, the UK Independence Party’s support has tumbled, and the Labour Party is under threat in […]
Review: Norwegian polling in March
Eleven nationwide opinion polls were published in Norway in March, along with a dozen county-level surveys. Three of the national polls came from Norstat (two for Vart Land and one for NRK), while InFact, unusually, produced work for the Centre Party as well as for regular client the VG newspaper. The key theme […]
Highest ratings since 1997 for Norway’s Centre Party
There have been four new national polls out today and yesterday in Norway, plus several county-level surveys. With six months to parliamentary elections, there is more delight for the surging Centre Party (SP), which is consolidating its support above 10 per cent as the Conservative-led coalition struggles to the end of its term. In the […]