There has been a rush of last minute polling before Dutch voters elect a new Tweede Kamer tomorrow. The closing picture presented by the country’s six pollsters is broadly consistent, even if many parties are so bunched together that gaps between them are well within margins of error. The ruling centre-right VVD of […]
Tag: LISS
Wilders’ PVV now battling for second place?
There have been some small but potentially very significant developments in Netherlands’ polling in the last day or so. With only a week until voters hit the ballot boxes, the situation remains fragmented and stagnant, but the following may prove important pointers to the outcome: The gap between the ruling conservative VVD and the populist […]
VVD opens up four seat lead with both Ipsos and LISS panel
The weekly political barometer from Ipsos shows the governing centre-right VVD holding its ground at a projected 28 parliamentary seats. With the populist Freedom Party (PVV) slipping two ‘virtual seats’ to 24, its lowest projection with Ipsos so far in 2017, a clear gap seems to be consolidating. Exactly the same distance of […]
Neck and neck between PVV and VVD in Netherlands polls
Dutch citizens go to the polling stations two weeks tomorrow: the campaign outcome is still fraught with uncertainty and voting intentions remain highly fragmented. Today’s parliamentary seat projection from Kantar Public (TNS-NIPO) shows the governing VVD conservatives and right-wing populist PVV neck-and-neck in the high twenties. The sharp recovery in VVD support appears to show […]
Netherlands still fragmented with under six weeks to go
Ahead of the Dutch lower house elections on 15 March there has been a flurry of polls with all four of the country’s pollsters issuing research in the last week. On top of that, the new daily rolling LISS panel survey from the University of Tilburg / CentERdata is now up to its full size […]